What could affect HNT's future price? (31/08/2025)

TLDR

HNT’s price is currently down due to a bearish market sentiment and technical indicators suggesting potential declines. Key factors that could affect HNT’s future price include:

• Market Sentiment – Current bearish sentiment and technical indicators suggest a potential decrease in price.
• Regulatory Environment – Ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting helium supply could impact HNT’s utility and demand.
• Technical Analysis – HNT is trading near critical support levels, with potential price fluctuations expected between $2.24 and $3.36 in 2025.

Deep Dive

1. Market Sentiment (Bearish Impact)

• Overview: HNT is experiencing a neutral overall sentiment with a sentiment score of 54, indicating a lack of strong bullish or bearish momentum. The Fear & Greed Index is at 52, suggesting a balanced market outlook. Recent price changes have shown a 3.20% increase over the last 24 hours, but the overall trend remains cautious.
• What this means: A neutral sentiment can lead to price stagnation or minor fluctuations. Historical examples, such as the price movements of other cryptocurrencies during periods of indecision, show that prolonged neutral sentiment can lead to significant price drops if negative news emerges.

2. Regulatory Environment (Mixed Impact)

• Overview: The helium market is currently facing acute shortages due to geopolitical tensions, particularly sanctions affecting Russian exports and production delays at facilities like Gazprom’s Amur gas processing plant. This has led to helium prices surging by 50-100% since early 2022, impacting industries reliant on helium, including healthcare and technology.
• What this means: While the shortage could increase the demand for HNT as a utility token within the Helium Network, it also poses risks if regulatory measures tighten further. For instance, the U.S. designation of helium as a strategic material has introduced export restrictions, which could limit market access and affect HNT’s price.

3. Technical Analysis (Bearish Short-Term)

• Overview: HNT is currently trading at $2.60, with technical indicators suggesting a bearish outlook. The price is hovering near critical support levels, and projections indicate it could trade between $2.24 and $3.36 in 2025, averaging around $2.72. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52, indicating a neutral position, but the market sentiment suggests potential downward pressure.
• What this means: If HNT breaks below the $2.24 support level, it could trigger further selling pressure, leading to a more significant decline. Conversely, if it holds above this level, it may provide a base for a potential recovery. Historical patterns show that similar technical setups have led to price corrections in the past.

Conclusion

HNT’s future price trajectory will hinge on market sentiment, regulatory developments, and technical indicators. As the helium market grapples with supply issues and geopolitical tensions, will HNT be able to leverage its utility in the Helium Network to drive demand, or will external pressures lead to further declines?